<div class="csl-bib-body">
<div class="csl-entry">Barendrecht, M. H., Viglione, A., Kreibich, H., Vorogushyn, S., Merz, B., & Blöschl, G. (2018). Estimating parameter values of a socio-hydrological flood model. In <i>Innovative water resources management – understanding and balancing interactions between humankind and nature : 8th International Water Resources Management Conference of ICWRS, Beijing, China, 13–15 June 2018</i>. 8th International Water Resources Management Conference of ICWRS 2018, Peking, China. Copernicus GmbH. https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-379-193-2018</div>
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Socio-hydrological modelling studies that have been published so far show that dynamic coupled human-flood models are a promising tool to represent the phenomena and the feedbacks in human-flood systems. So far these models are mostly generic and have not been developed and calibrated to represent specific case studies. We believe that applying and calibrating these type of models to real world case studies can help us to further develop our understanding about the phenomena that occur in these systems. In this paper we propose a method to estimate the parameter values of a socio-hydrological model and we test it by applying it to an artificial case study. We postulate a model that describes the feedbacks between floods, awareness and preparedness. After simulating hypothetical time series with a given combination of parameters, we sample few data points for our variables and try to estimate the parameters given these data points using Bayesian Inference. The results show that, if we are able to collect data for our case study, we would, in theory, be able to estimate the parameter values for our socio-hydrological flood model.
en
dc.description.sponsorship
Marie Sklodowska-Curie Innovative Training Network “A Large-Scale Systems Approach to Flood Risk Assessmentand Management – SYSTEM-RISK”
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dc.description.sponsorship
The German Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkund
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dc.language
English
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dc.language.iso
en
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dc.publisher
Copernicus GmbH
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dc.relation.ispartofseries
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (PIAHS)
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dc.rights.uri
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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dc.title
Estimating parameter values of a socio-hydrological flood model
en
dc.type
Inproceedings
en
dc.type
Konferenzbeitrag
de
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Namensnennung 4.0 International
de
dc.rights.license
Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
en
dc.contributor.affiliation
German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), Potsdam, Germany
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dc.contributor.affiliation
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
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dc.contributor.affiliation
University of Potsdam
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dc.relation.grantno
676027
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dc.relation.grantno
SozioHydroKopplung
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dc.rights.holder
The Author(s) 2018
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dc.type.category
Full-Paper Contribution
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dc.relation.eissn
2199-899X
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tuw.booktitle
Innovative water resources management – understanding and balancing interactions between humankind and nature : 8th International Water Resources Management Conference of ICWRS, Beijing, China, 13–15 June 2018
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tuw.container.volume
379
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tuw.peerreviewed
true
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tuw.book.ispartofseries
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences (PIAHS)
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tuw.version
vor
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tuw.publication.orgunit
E222-02 - Forschungsbereich Ingenieurhydrologie
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tuw.publisher.doi
10.5194/piahs-379-193-2018
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dc.identifier.libraryid
AC15515356
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dc.description.numberOfPages
6
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dc.identifier.urn
urn:nbn:at:at-ubtuw:3-7384
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tuw.author.orcid
0000-0002-3825-0123
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tuw.author.orcid
0000-0002-7587-4832
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tuw.author.orcid
0000-0003-4639-7982
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tuw.author.orcid
0000-0002-5992-1440
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dc.rights.identifier
CC BY 4.0
de
dc.rights.identifier
CC BY 4.0
en
tuw.event.name
8th International Water Resources Management Conference of ICWRS 2018
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tuw.event.startdate
13-06-2018
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tuw.event.enddate
15-06-2018
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tuw.event.online
On Site
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tuw.event.type
Event for scientific audience
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tuw.event.place
Peking
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tuw.event.country
CN
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tuw.event.presenter
Barendrecht, Marlies Holkje
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open
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conference paper
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with Fulltext
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item.languageiso639-1
en
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http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794
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item.openaccessfulltext
Open Access
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Publications
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crisitem.author.dept
E222-02 - Forschungsbereich Ingenieurhydrologie
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crisitem.author.dept
E222 - Institut für Wasserbau und Ingenieurhydrologie
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crisitem.author.dept
German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), Potsdam, Germany
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crisitem.author.dept
GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
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crisitem.author.dept
University of Potsdam
-
crisitem.author.dept
E222 - Institut für Wasserbau und Ingenieurhydrologie
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crisitem.author.orcid
0000-0002-3825-0123
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crisitem.author.orcid
0000-0002-7587-4832
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crisitem.author.orcid
0000-0003-4639-7982
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crisitem.author.orcid
0000-0002-5992-1440
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crisitem.author.orcid
0000-0003-2227-8225
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crisitem.author.parentorg
E222 - Institut für Wasserbau und Ingenieurhydrologie