Title: Dynamic evolution and control of terrorist organisations
Language: English
Authors: Paller, Michael 
Qualification level: Diploma
Keywords: Terrorismus; dynamische Kontrolle; dynamische Entwicklung; dynamische Optimierung; Stabilität; Stabilitätsanalyse
Terrorism; dynamic control; dynamic evolution; dynamic optimization; stability; stability analysis
Advisor: Tragler, Gernot
Issue Date: 2013
Number of Pages: 107
Qualification level: Diploma
Diese Arbeit befasst sich mit der Dynamik und dem Stabilitätsverhalten von Terrorgruppen. Es werden hier mehrere Modelle nach Hauskens Annahmen behandelt. Ein wesentlicher Bestandteil der Arbeit ist es herauszufinden, wie sich die Dynamik solcher Gruppen durch Änderung eines Parameters verhält. Es wird angenommen, dass sich eine Terrorgruppe aus verschiedenen Gruppen zusammensetzt: den Ideologen, kriminellen Söldnern und anderen Teilnehmern. Es wird davon ausgegangen, dass Ideologen die politischen Zwecke verfolgen. Dazu brauchen sie Geld und rekrutieren daher kriminelle Söldner. Die anderen Teilnehmer verfolgen logistische Dienstleistungen. Die Modelle in dieser Arbeit analysieren die Entwicklung solcher Gruppen. Weiters wird die Entwicklung der Terrorgruppe durch Änderung von gewissen Parametern verfolgt und dargestellt.

This thesis is targeting the dynamics and the stability behaviour of a terrorist group. It deals with several models based on Hausken's considerations in his work Composition and Dynamic Evolution of Terrorist Organizations. One main task is to investigate the stability behaviour by influencing a single parameter in the model representing such a group. Hausken assumed that terrorist organisations consist most often of three groups:
ideologues, criminal mercenaries and captive participants. Ideologues provide political purpose and direction and have a strong group commitment. Like every group a terrorist organisation often needs money to survive. The ideologues acquire money through capital support by sponsors or criminal activities. To assure permanent financial supporting ideologues have to recruit mercenaries. These criminal mercenaries support the organisation by providing money, but they have a weak group commitment and may corrupt the ideological purity of the group. Captive participants have neither strong commitments nor financial interests but cannot leave without repercussions. The developement of the terrorist organisation is influenced by the strength of every single group and may turn into a criminal organisation or may break completely. The following models, based on Hausken's work, analyse the developement of such a group. Hausken first presents a model starting with only ideologues which is then expanded by criminal mercenaries and finally by captive participants. Thereafter Hausken also included gouvernment intervention to his model. Those formerly mentioned models of different dimensions will be investigated accurately for the issue of an existing solution and the stability. In addition, an analysis for measuring the influence of a parameter change will be done to minimise the damage costs caused by the terrorist organisation.
URI: https://resolver.obvsg.at/urn:nbn:at:at-ubtuw:1-59057
Library ID: AC07815489
Organisation: E105 - Institut für Wirtschaftsmathematik 
Publication Type: Thesis
Appears in Collections:Thesis

Files in this item:

File Description SizeFormat
Dynamic evolution and control of terrorist organisations.pdf2.74 MBAdobe PDFThumbnail
Show full item record

Page view(s)

checked on Feb 18, 2021


checked on Feb 18, 2021

Google ScholarTM


Items in reposiTUm are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.