Böhl, G., Budianto, F., & Takáts Elöd. (2025, April 29). The Macroeconomics of Green Transitions [Presentation]. Final Presentation Workshop of OeNB-funded projects 18611 and 18646, Wien, Austria. http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12708/217315
Final Presentation Workshop of OeNB-funded projects 18611 and 18646
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Event date:
29-Apr-2025
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Event place:
Wien, Austria
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Keywords:
Energy trasition; innovation; monetary policy; infloation dynamics
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Abstract:
The paper investigates the macroeconomics of an energy transition – a shift from brown to
green energy production through carbon taxation. Using a medium-scale DSGE model with
energy production sectors and endogenous innovation in the green energy sector, we show that
an energy transition – initiated through a brown energy tax – resembles a large supply side
shock, causing a surge in inflation and energy prices and a decline in consumption. Innovation
increases the efficiency of green energy production and drives energy prices down in the medium
run. We document that monetary policy plays a critical role for the dynamics and pace of the
transition, even if the transition is not explicitly part of the policy rule. A monetary policy with
less emphasis on inflation stabilization allows for temporarily higher inflation and energy prices,
which boosts R&D and innovation, enhancing welfare and accelerating the transition.
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Project title:
Should central banks modify their inflation targeting framework when agents are boundedly rational?: 18611 (Österreichische Nationalbank, Jubiläumsfonds)
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Research Areas:
Mathematical Methods in Economics: 70% Modeling and Simulation: 30%